Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 1.458701 1.656735 1.873636 2.129133 2.422252 2.748470 3.139676
2025-11-09 1.104412 1.348873 1.638022 2.006355 2.464671 3.018226 3.740601
2025-11-16 0.905731 1.175271 1.515280 1.978050 2.595206 3.395071 4.518658
2025-11-23 0.757471 1.034843 1.404502 1.937159 2.691590 3.731630 5.290884
2025-11-30 0.686689 0.982566 1.396923 2.025738 2.966782 4.340025 6.527303
2025-12-07 0.618331 0.921578 1.365277 2.070407 3.179032 4.882004 7.747949
2025-12-14 0.548103 0.846862 1.301293 2.053783 3.290361 5.279831 8.799554
2025-12-21 0.478774 0.763769 1.212498 1.983386 3.301596 5.513012 9.607539
2025-12-28 0.450834 0.742282 1.217147 2.063377 3.569182 6.203901 11.312188
2026-01-04 0.425445 0.721398 1.219265 2.137512 3.833956 6.923009 13.181116
2026-01-11 0.397663 0.692840 1.204292 2.178196 4.041568 7.563810 15.001214
2026-01-18 0.371814 0.664512 1.185952 2.209267 4.233263 8.197791 16.907824
2026-01-25 0.335010 0.613387 1.122599 2.151117 4.251222 8.508363 18.227535
2026-02-01 0.296137 0.554316 1.038140 2.041578 4.151503 8.566502 19.012787
2026-02-08 0.272384 0.521516 1.000118 2.020144 4.231031 9.012260 20.754740
2026-02-15 0.249453 0.487872 0.956724 1.982041 4.269300 9.373359 22.364000
2026-02-22 0.242263 0.484860 0.974203 2.074821 4.608674 10.461446 25.956627
2026-03-01 0.231105 0.472481 0.970940 2.121699 4.849975 11.358601 29.241253
2026-03-08 0.215324 0.448756 0.941161 2.105168 4.939637 11.904004 31.701534
2026-03-15 0.196505 0.416661 0.890019 2.033151 4.884967 12.082168 33.186933
2026-03-22 0.191419 0.414077 0.903564 2.115434 5.225497 13.325040 37.961428
2026-03-29 0.186078 0.410358 0.914089 2.191649 5.561696 14.611553 43.144333
2026-04-05 0.178660 0.401147 0.910957 2.233476 5.813499 15.709454 47.989913